Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.


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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of GRglo centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman


  • madhvi goyal
    madhvi goyalΠριν λεπτό

    "Did dream cheat his speedrun?" That only dream fan : *clicks out of video*

  • The Aisha Biscuit
    The Aisha BiscuitΠριν ώρα

    Before Reveal: 10 = 7 heads Answer Reveal: IM CORECT!!! :D

  • Tiger Arora
    Tiger AroraΠριν ώρα

    We: did dream cheat? MatPat: Well yes, but actually no

  • Tashi Yuen
    Tashi YuenΠριν ώρα


  • Player 1
    Player 1Πριν ώρα

    I saw someone beat minecraft in 4:24 minutes

  • Aafiya arissa
    Aafiya arissaΠριν 2 ώρες

    Me: being that one 8 year old kid bad at math but likes game theory lol

  • GINGY_zamination Yt
    GINGY_zamination YtΠριν 2 ώρες

    Flip 10 and get 7+heads

  • Kobe is Children
    Kobe is ChildrenΠριν 4 ώρες

    although there are 10-37 major factors involved, it seems that "the thing that makes minecraft 1.16 speedruns 5 minutes faster than previous versions is the piglin trading, it's basically a slot machine". so if one were to cheat at this game, do you think they would change those rates? and change the rates of "one of the biggest bottlenecks in any minecraft speedrun"?

  • Kobe is Children

    Kobe is Children

    Πριν 4 ώρες

    and don't you think that Kobe is children? cause he is

  • Kenrick John Marquez
    Kenrick John MarquezΠριν 5 ώρες

    NEW THEORY FOR MINECRAFT What is bedrock made of

  • SK_WantsToGameEnd
    SK_WantsToGameEndΠριν 6 ώρες

    YT theory: Matpat inetially had an awnser, but the awnser was that Dream did cheat. However, since Dream has already collabed on Game Theory, Matpat didn't want to ruin his future chances with Dream's clout (attacking someone on the internet who has more clout then you is a death sentance). But since he didn't want to throw away hours of research, he made a video that never gave a diffinitive awnser.

  • Pranav J pillai
    Pranav J pillaiΠριν 7 ώρες

    But with the stupid barter,I barted with more than 280 gold,u know how much I got? 5 pearls,5 PEARLS, if u are thinking how I got that much, I had a Mesa near my village

  • Pranav J pillai
    Pranav J pillaiΠριν 7 ώρες

    I have got more than that much blaze rods so does that mean I cheated? No it's just luck And looting 😂

  • Mateus Fernandes
    Mateus FernandesΠριν 7 ώρες

    Stand-up maths did a video that actually answers the question... 🙏🏽

  • The man with Panda eyes
    The man with Panda eyesΠριν 7 ώρες

    This is worst then mrbossftw’s video’s

  • Ruby _Gem
    Ruby _GemΠριν 8 ώρες

    When he was talking about flipping coins I did not get any of that lol

  • susan alvarenga
    susan alvarengaΠριν 9 ώρες

    8:32 my aswer is (a)

  • Marco Rivera
    Marco RiveraΠριν 11 ώρες

    idk that questiopn

  • KOJONES123 4
    KOJONES123 4Πριν 13 ώρες

    Why tf do people even care he’s not even first he’s sixth , people only care because it’s dream

  • morbideddie


    Πριν 3 ώρες

    Exactly, any other runner and their run would have just been quietly removed and they would have been suspended from posting. Because it’s dream we have to keep talking about it because he won’t let it go and his stans don’t understand maths.

  • Ian Owens
    Ian OwensΠριν 13 ώρες

    im gonna tell my math teacher to find out if he was cheating

  • Ian Owens
    Ian OwensΠριν 13 ώρες

    "when they bust out latex, you know its serious" thats what she said im sorry i had to

  • SilencedLamb_ _
    SilencedLamb_ _Πριν 14 ώρες

    I want to matt to be my mentor like om not joking

  • Black and yellow
    Black and yellowΠριν 15 ώρες

    10 and getting heads 7 times

  • DIO Brando
    DIO BrandoΠριν 18 ώρες

    Dream Speedrunner *exists* The Game Theorists: Dream the Game *Exists*

  • Ruben Quack
    Ruben QuackΠριν 19 ώρες

    Here's an actual answer to this question by Matt Parker from StandUp Maths: Bonus: it doesn't have the ridiculous bragging about understanding a bunch of math that he clearly doesn't understand at all.

  • Chimbi Choombi
    Chimbi ChoombiΠριν 19 ώρες

    How can some people in this comment section be so ignorant as still think that dream definitively cheated. Matpat’s argument is that the chance of Dream’s drop rates is subjective, which is clearly evident by the different methodologies of the “Particle Physicist” and the mod team. The definitive answer to whether he cheated or not is obtainable only in a perfect world. The best solution would be to support the number of factors (why is it 10 vs 37?), and then to select data from every single recorded instance of Dream’s speed running attempts. Both sides did none of this, and both were biased, and used “true” but misleading statistics. Statistics may be right on a graph, but when applied to a topic, are misleading. For example, “4/5 dentists recommend Colgate”. It may be true, but perhaps those same 5 dentists all recommended Sensodyne. The original statement isn’t false, but it is misleading you to buy the less recommended brand, when obviously Sensodyne was recommended more. Conclusion: Statistics are often biased and used to lie to people, and Pat’s video is saying the ways you can come to a conclusion (and also how both sides did) is not truly representing the entire picture.

  • animesh rawat
    animesh rawatΠριν 20 ώρες

    matpat is like you when you're asked "would you save your mom or dad?"

  • Gaetan Siffert
    Gaetan SiffertΠριν 23 ώρες

    2:11 oh god no not latex

  • Alexander Wiseman
    Alexander WisemanΠριν 23 ώρες

    This was decidedly a YES to anyone who really understood the data, but a "...maybe no??" to Dream stans. I understand, PatPat, but if you ain't finna answer the question yourself, you shouldn't finna ask the question in your title. Title it something like "An in depth analysis on the Dream situation" or something.

  • Viktor Milojevic
    Viktor MilojevicΠριν ημέρα

    If he is better than you in minecraft it doesn't mean you should make fake videos about him

  • Arianna Oros
    Arianna OrosΠριν ημέρα

    Little did future Matpat know was that the argument continued more on the down low

  • Mel Marmoria
    Mel MarmoriaΠριν ημέρα

    this video is so infuriating to watch for so many reasons - too many unnecessary tangents - no real conclusion/answer to the actual title question, hence just pure clickbait - flexing that you share some business with LE DREAM, i guess he is somebody to gloat about - this was basically the longest loudest loading screen for an (skillshare) ad - claiming this video is supposed to be educating about the maths, in the end only explaining the theory of it in a very weird and hard to understand way - the finishing verdict. "minecraft 1.16+ shouldnt be getting speedruns anymore cause too high dependence on luck :c"

  • SleekJupiter
    SleekJupiterΠριν ημέρα

    This is last year's drama mat

  • noname
    nonameΠριν ημέρα

    60 is harder than 7 :)

  • Honshu :]
    Honshu :]Πριν ημέρα

    I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a GRglor and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the GRglor’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)

  • Oda Siam
    Oda SiamΠριν ημέρα

    This channel helped me learn more than my class lol

  • Zack Pumpkinhead
    Zack PumpkinheadΠριν ημέρα

    8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time

  • Zack Pumpkinhead
    Zack PumpkinheadΠριν ημέρα

    1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?

  • Matthew Hogan
    Matthew HoganΠριν ημέρα


  • Livie Noelle
    Livie NoelleΠριν ημέρα

    conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous

  • morbideddie


    Πριν 3 ώρες

    Yes Stanley, they were jealous of his 14th place run.

  • Hayden Y

    Hayden Y

    Πριν ημέρα


  • kat h
    kat hΠριν ημέρα

    Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher

  • Hayden Y

    Hayden Y

    Πριν ημέρα


  • Glad Bros Entertainment
    Glad Bros EntertainmentΠριν ημέρα

    7 times

  • Dr. Rocker
    Dr. RockerΠριν ημέρα

    Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated

  • Rainbow Pummmkins
    Rainbow PummmkinsΠριν ημέρα

    Mat pls tell me pls!

  • James7
    James7Πριν ημέρα

    I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.

  • RaisinTree
    RaisinTreeΠριν ημέρα

    hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.

  • Brandon Morehouse

    Brandon Morehouse

    Πριν ημέρα

    I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement

  • Dragon Fire
    Dragon FireΠριν ημέρα

    Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.

  • a channel
    a channelΠριν ημέρα

    my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.

  • bestofyosuke
    bestofyosukeΠριν ημέρα

    When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)

  • JamFoxxy
    JamFoxxyΠριν ημέρα

    Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides

  • FreesmartBros2007
    FreesmartBros2007Πριν 2 ημέρες

    2:21 relatable ;-;

  • AncientAmber YT
    AncientAmber YTΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Ah yes, clickbait

  • Brandon Morehouse

    Brandon Morehouse

    Πριν ημέρα

    Well yes but actually no

  • K'Sean Richardson
    K'Sean RichardsonΠριν 2 ημέρες

    I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?

  • DONT wamt
    DONT wamtΠριν 2 ημέρες

    So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense

  • Out by the Water in Cape May
    Out by the Water in Cape MayΠριν 2 ημέρες

    So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.

  • •peachs bunzs ôwø•
    •peachs bunzs ôwø•Πριν 2 ημέρες

    help me with me math pls

  • ENO
    ENOΠριν 2 ημέρες

    İmagine dream commenting

  • Ariel Flores
    Ariel FloresΠριν 2 ημέρες

    I think 100 times

  • Zain Huda
    Zain HudaΠριν 2 ημέρες

    The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??

  • Dream the animator
    Dream the animatorΠριν 2 ημέρες


  • chrichu
    chrichuΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes

    DYLAN SALINASΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)

  • Jamie Brophy
    Jamie BrophyΠριν 2 ημέρες


  • raystrashcan
    raystrashcanΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video

  • Juliet Torres
    Juliet TorresΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Coin ten times

  • lars thememelord
    lars thememelordΠριν 2 ημέρες

    for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER

  • Vanja Nenadović
    Vanja NenadovićΠριν 2 ημέρες

    Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.

  • Galand Commandment Of Truth
    Galand Commandment Of TruthΠριν 2 ημέρες


  • עדי קרימר
    עדי קרימרΠριν 2 ημέρες

    I don’t trust Dream He’s cheating I hate him!

  • עדי קרימר

    עדי קרימר

    Πριν 5 ώρες

    @Brandon Morehouse you know i never trust dream cuz i don't like him! Okay?. And yes? He did destroyed the perfect world. making happy. walking adventure. And look what dream done to Minecraft! Cuz dream making fighting with his friends. He went to kill his friends?. So? I don't hear him anymore.

  • Brandon Morehouse

    Brandon Morehouse

    Πριν 15 ώρες

    @עדי קרימר So you’re saying he destroyed the perfect world of minecraft? Kind of like how humans destroyed the perfect world of earth? Including you and me?

  • עדי קרימר

    עדי קרימר

    Πριν 15 ώρες

    @Brandon Morehouse why? You say so? Cuz i hate him? Minecraft is relaxing game and now! destroyed in the world! Look what dream he done to Minecraft!. he cheater!

  • Brandon Morehouse

    Brandon Morehouse

    Πριν 18 ώρες

    @עדי קרימר And?

  • עדי קרימר

    עדי קרימר

    Πριν 18 ώρες

    @Brandon Morehouse i must!!! Hate him!. his speedrun is all FAKE!

  • MegaMathew75
    MegaMathew75Πριν 3 ημέρες


  • ailey
    aileyΠριν 3 ημέρες

    I wish matpat was my math teacher

  • Djd250
    Djd250Πριν 3 ημέρες

    is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?

  • W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi
    W Aliff Naufal W M SyuhaidiΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning

  • Brandon Morehouse

    Brandon Morehouse

    Πριν ημέρα

    That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work

    OLLIE JOSHUA ALFOROΠριν 3 ημέρες

    did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29

  • Anicka Amaefule
    Anicka AmaefuleΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Wait, did dream cheat or not?

  • Anicka Amaefule
    Anicka AmaefuleΠριν 3 ημέρες

    I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life

  • Levi Crosby
    Levi CrosbyΠριν 3 ημέρες

    I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them

  • Benny Windipo
    Benny WindipoΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Matpat has really gone downhill.....

  • Meba
    MebaΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit

  • The lord
    The lordΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂

  • Eldudio 14
    Eldudio 14Πριν 3 ημέρες

    You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans

  • • Møno •
    • Møno •Πριν 3 ημέρες

    The answer is... Nothing hahahaha

  • Sarcasm
    SarcasmΠριν 3 ημέρες

    This is over a bunch of Minecraft pixels, a video game...

  • Bottom Text

    Bottom Text

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Yes because things that happen on the internet have no effect on the real world

  • Matt Sweeney
    Matt SweeneyΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Twitch Rivals did competitive minecraft bingo. it was great.

  • alex manley
    alex manleyΠριν 3 ημέρες

    60 out of 100

  • The Oshawott King
    The Oshawott KingΠριν 3 ημέρες

    I dont hate Dream and i do find some of his vids fun to watch, but i did knew that it wasnt a smart decision to fight against the Minecraft speedrun mod team. There have been alot of cheating investigations in the past with other games and the people who expose speedrunners for cheating take their job seriously, they are like detectives trying to figure out a murder investigation or a mystery. Doing things like using Audacity for checking things in the sounds of the recording, recreating speedruns with slow speed, checking every fricking pixel in the screen with Photoshop etc.

  • Peri Uluirmak
    Peri UluirmakΠριν 3 ημέρες

    8:37 i think the first one , the one with flipping a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times 9:00 yaaaay

  • Jordon Lott
    Jordon LottΠριν 3 ημέρες

    Why are there so many dislikes

  • Muhammad Soleh

    Muhammad Soleh

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    and probably because he has no conclusion

  • Commander_Chop_Stix YT

    Commander_Chop_Stix YT

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Probably all the dream stans

  • itzmattaf777
    itzmattaf777Πριν 3 ημέρες


  • GTG Glenn
    GTG GlennΠριν 3 ημέρες

    0:12 wait mat are you there when mr beast is giving away like 25 ps5's

  • Epic Ocean
    Epic OceanΠριν 4 ημέρες

    I think dream doesn’t fake his speedruns i think dream is super lucky

  • Gameslug


    Πριν 16 ώρες

    @StrikeYT I’m 90% sure there was another comment

  • StrikeYT


    Πριν 2 ημέρες

    @Gameslug and when did I say dream didn't cheat?

  • StrikeYT


    Πριν 2 ημέρες

    @Gameslug gosh I didn't expect a slug will be so mean

  • Muhammad Soleh

    Muhammad Soleh

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    he cheated. No more opinions, only facts

  • Gameslug


    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Both of you idiots dream cheated. The data shows that he did.

  • Big Sheesh
    Big SheeshΠριν 4 ημέρες

    I love how people dislike the video without watching it 🤣

  • Shubham Saini
    Shubham SainiΠριν 4 ημέρες

    Mr beast buy the store again

  • Ouf
    OufΠριν 4 ημέρες

    Those of y'all in the comments making fun of the fact how MatPat asked the question, but didn't exactly answer it, please reread the title. "A Final Analysis." Definition of Analysis- (n.) detailed examination of the elements or structure of something. Meaning an explanation or investigation, but not exactly the final answer. So basically you set yourself up by clicking the damn video.

  • StrikeYT


    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Your really smart for a mouse

  • Mollie Star Forever
    Mollie Star ForeverΠριν 4 ημέρες


  • _K I L L E R • Q U E E N_

    _K I L L E R • Q U E E N_

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Eggsodic buhddersz

  • Yagsterr
    YagsterrΠριν 4 ημέρες

    He did. End of story.

  • Gameslug


    Πριν 3 ημέρες


  • Lewys Cousins
    Lewys CousinsΠριν 4 ημέρες

    On any other channel I wouldn't point this out, but since its Game Theory and I know we like details around here, the exterior of that Tardis from 2:29 is from the 11/12th Doctor's tenure however the interior is from the 9/10th Doctor's run. Just saying!

  • s1lvDrag0n
    s1lvDrag0nΠριν 4 ημέρες

    I couldn’t care less if he cheated or not, no matter how you look at it, Dream is still one the best Minecraft players to exist.

  • StrikeYT


    Πριν 2 ημέρες

    And just because He is good at PvP doesn't mean that his the best player in the world dream stan

  • Bottom Text

    Bottom Text

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    This is about integrity. Also dream is average, notice how he never fights any actual pvpers? I could fight a below average player and look like a PvP god too.

  • Gameslug


    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    He is not the best Minecraft player. He is good at 1.16 pvp but not the best. He also has average building and redstone skills. Also he is nowhere near the top of 1.8 pvp

  • Leonard


    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Yes, so good he has to cheat.

  • StrikeYT


    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Technoblade: are you sure about that?

  • Kason Lair
    Kason LairΠριν 4 ημέρες

    100 times and getting 60 heads

  • Kayla Powers
    Kayla PowersΠριν 4 ημέρες

    I'm pretty sure the answer was 1) You CAN'T have an answer especially given the fact both sides can't have conclusive evidence to prove Dream did or didn't cheat and that the experiment itself wasn't infallible so what MatPat had to work with was skewed one way or another. 2) Generally? Why are we speedrunning Minecraft??? Especially now that nether fortresses have become rarer since the recent nether update and that your ability to be fastest are decided by some factors are now up to luck and not skill. That's what I got from the video anyway.

  • Bottom Text

    Bottom Text

    Πριν 3 ημέρες

    Imagine being so lucky you could have won the lottery multiple times a day for your entire life but you waste all that luck on Minecraft.

  • Conner McKinnon
    Conner McKinnonΠριν 4 ημέρες

    As an Econometrics Major, I can confirm that this video is a great intro into how statistics can be applied to the real world, and I appreciate it being made

  • Conner McKinnon

    Conner McKinnon

    Πριν 4 ημέρες

    Sampling Bias, Law of Large Iterations, getting closer to the mean as you increase sample size, these are all fundamental truths to statistics, and you must take these things into consideration or you could end up falsely accusing someone. These numbers show that Dream 99.9999999% cheated - there is no 100%.